So once again, I've made a first round mock draft. This is a process that has actually been in the works for about a month now. There's been quite a bit of tinkering. I do mine with a ton of qualifiers. This is not what I would do if I were the team, and trades are absolutely ruled out. This is simply what I think would happen if no draft day trades take place, because I obviously can't predict the draft day transaction madness.
Before my official 2013 first round mock, here are the results of my 2012 Mock Draft, which was also completed 2 nights before the draft last year.
2012 RESULTS
# of players correctly
picked in round: 26/32
# of players correctly
picked by spot: 5/32
# of players correctly
picked by team: 6/32
1. KC-LUKE
JOECKEL OT TEXAS A&M (Coin flip between he and Fisher)
2. JAX- ERIC FISHER OT CENTRAL MICHIGAN (Fisher or Jordan here I would guess. Gus Bradley would love Jordan, but over the long-term I think they're safe play is Eric Fisher or Luke Joeckel if KC decides to go with Fisher)
3. OAK- STAR LOLOTULELEI DT UTAH (I forgot Al Davis was dead)
4. PHI- DION JORDAN OLB OREGON (Chip Kelly will have some impact. I'm sure they'd like to roll with a LT but Jordan is worlds better than the next available LT)
5. DET-LANE JOHNSON OT OKLAHOMA (Once the tackles start going fast and furious Detroit will decide to take Johnson, although they're intrigued by Ansah according to David Newbury of Sports Radio 1310 The Ticket. A man who has done more crazy stuff than I could ever imagine. Seriously. All the weird stuff)
6. CLE-SHARIFF FLOYD DT FLORIDA (Not convinced this will be Cleveland picking here. They will try to trade out I think)
7. ARI-EZEKIEL ANSAH DE BYU (They need O-line help, but Ansah fills a need for them as well as being the best available player. Unless for some reason they think Cooper can play tackle, I think they roll with Ansah)
8. BUF-RYAN NASSIB QB SYRACUSE (I would hope they try to trade down and then take Nassib if that's really their guy. If they take Nassib at 8, we can just chalk it up to another crappy thing about Buffalo. Besides the Goo Goo Dolls. Those guys were pretty bad-ass in the 90s)
9. NYJ-TAVON AUSTIN WR WEST VIRGINIA (The extra pick in the Revis trade really secured this for me as well as many other pundits. I think they take him at 9 rather than 13 though just in case someone gets handsy)
10. TEN-JONATHAN COOPER OG UNC (I think they'll go with Cooper or Warmack here, just a hunch on Cooper)
11. SD-DJ FLUKER OT ALABAMA (It's a reach, but they'll prefer a tackle over a guard. Warmack is a possibility here, but I think this is the destination for Fluker)
12. MIA-DEE MILLINER CB ALABAMA (Injury history and recent reports haven't really scared many teams in my opinion. I do think he'll slide out of the top ten, but not because of health. Mainly because of people like Ryan Nassib and Tavon Austin)
13. NYJ
(from TB)-CHANCE WARMACK OG NYJ (They'll be thrilled that he lasted to 13. Other hunch is Barkvious Mingo, as Rex Ryan apparently loves that guy)
14. CAR-SHELDON
RICHARDSON DT MIZZOURI (They've been all over him for a long time, plus it's the long lost son of owner Jerry Richardson)
15. NO- BARKEVIOUS MINGO DE/OLB LSU (I never really know what the Saints are up to. Pass rusher is my guess though, and Mingo or someone like Jarvis Jones could be the selection here)
16. STL-DEANDRE HOPKINS WR CLEMSON (They need a safety too, so I wouldn't be surprised if they take Vaccaro here. That's been the narrative all along. Honestly at this point, i'm so sick and tired of moving all these parts back and forth that i'm going with Hopkins here so it alligns with my Cowboys prediction)
17. PIT-TYLER
EIFERT TE NOTRE DAME (Why the hell not? They could go a number of directions, but this just seems to make sense)
18. DAL-KENNY VACCARO S TEXAS (I'm not sold on Vaccaro as the best safety, as i'm forever a Cyprien lover. If I was a Cowboys fan I wouldn't be thrilled with how the draft played out at this point. They could do worse than filling a need though. We all know they need O-line help, but at this point taking an offensive lineman at 18 just wouldn't be smart)
19. NYG-TANK
CARRADINE DE FLORIDA STATE (Another pass rusher to NYG. Yikes. His name is Tank too. Cornelius Tank. Just let that sink in )
20. CHI-ARTHUR
BROWN ILB KANSAS STATE (Brown is really not talked about much, especially considering his brother is a running back in the league. Good player, but there is apparently questions about his size as he's just a tick over six feet tall. I wouldn't worry about that though, as Michael Gruber is living proof that you don't have to be six feet tall to be successful in this world)
21. CIN-JONATHAN CYPRIEN S FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL (Ahhh, my love affair with Cyprien ends as I don't see him sliding to 26 for my Packers. Cincinnati is rumored to be huge on Cyprien, and I think they'll trade down to get him or will reach and snag him at 21)
22. STL-ERIC REID S LSU (They get their safety after all. It must be nice having 2 first round picks)
23. MIN-DJ HAYDEN CB HOUSTON (Either Hayden or Xavier Rhodes here. I don't really have a good read though. It's possible both of them are gone by 23, but not in my scenario. The possibility of the Vikings taking a wide receiver has been heavily reported as well)
24. IND- DATONE JONES DE UCLA (I really like him. I would honestly love it if the Cowboys considered him at 18, even though that might not be the smartest thing for them in terms of need. He can play anywhere on the defensive line. This is another situation of my eyes being glazed over and just kind of filling voids on my entire mock though)
25. MIN-MANTI
TEO LB NOTRE DAME (I think if the Vikings don't pick him, then he falls out of the first round. I guess Baltimore could take him at 32. The purple punk faces apparently like him a lot)
26. GB-EDDIE LACY RB ALABAMA (I don't really want the Packers to do this. I sense they'll trade out of the first round. I would really hate this pick, but I can't deny how imminent it's becoming)
27. HOU-CORDARELLE PATTERSON WR TENNESSEE (I have no idea what Houston is going to do. Just a hunch here)
28. DEN-JARVIS JONES OLB GEORGIA (Remember that fax machine guy named Elvis?)
29. NE-KEENAN ALLEN WR CALIFORNIA (Brandon Lloyd gone, so why not. How about a smart route runner. Could also see them snagging Geno Smith and trading him later. New England is wild)
30. ATL- SYLVESTER WILLIAMS DT UNC (Could be a possible Cowboys target at 18. I find him to be a tad overhyped. I also once stole a gift card from Junior Miller. I'm the butthole here, and probably wrong. Nonetheless, he probably won't fall this far but if he does I think Atlanta will gladly snatch him up)
31. SF- XAVIER RHODES CB FLORIDA STATE (Surely he won't slide this far. SF would pee their pants if this happened)
32. BAL-KEVIN MINTER ILB LSU (I've had them taking Minter since the beginning of time. Some ancient scribes say that my first words were "Minter to Ravens in 2013". Other ancient scribes say my first words were "Sorry about me, world")
Well that does it for me. Now off to the red box to grab my pre-draft movie. It's a yearly tradition that I watch the 1991 film "Backdraft" starring Kurt Russell, Robert De Niro, and one of the Baldwin brothers.